AES Corp (AES) distance from 200-day Simple Moving Average is $12.22: Right on the Precipice
AES Corp (NYSE: AES) began Wednesday’s session on a positive note, ticking up 0.36% to open at $13.77 before closing slightly lower at $13.72. Over the last year, the shares have traded between $9.46 and $15.51. At the time of writing, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is $13.91 and the 200-day SMA is $12.22, placing the stock roughly $1.50 (about 12%) above its longer-term trendline—near enough to keep the technical picture in focus.
Ownership and Market Profile
AES sits within the Utilities – Diversified industry. Insider ownership is approximately 0.50%, while institutional ownership stands at 89.37%. Shares outstanding total about 712.12 million, with a float of 708.57 million. Based on recent prices, the company’s market capitalization is roughly $9.81 billion.
Growth and Earnings Outlook
On a longer horizon, AES recorded five-year revenue growth of 39.18%. Over the same span, five-year EPS growth was also cited at 39.18%. For the current 12-month fiscal period, EPS growth is 0.59%. Looking ahead, consensus points to EPS of 2.31 in the upcoming year, and analysts project EPS growth of 3.53% on average over the next five years, compared with the stronger pace logged in the prior five-year period.
From a trailing perspective, diluted EPS over the last 12 months is 1.64. For the near term, EPS is expected to be 0.62 in the next quarter, with the aforementioned 2.31 target for the year ahead.
Valuation and Balance-Sheet Marks
Key valuation and balance-sheet indicators include:
- Quick ratio: 0.66
- P/E ratio: 8.39
- Price-to-sales (TTM): 0.81
- Beta: 0.99
Momentum, Volume, and Volatility
Recent trading dynamics show the five-day average volume was lower than the volume seen during the same period a year ago. Over the prior nine sessions, the Stochastic %D was recorded at 38.26%, and the Average True Range (ATR) was noted at 42.66. The raw Stochastic average over the last 100 days came in at 66.21%, higher than the 40.29% level observed over the last two weeks, reflecting a moderation in momentum more recently.
In terms of volatility, the stock’s 14-day historical volatility registered at 0.50, above the 0.43 level observed across the last 100 days. This suggests short-term price movement has been somewhat more pronounced than its longer-term average.
Technical Context: “Right on the Precipice”
With AES trading at $13.72 against a 200-day SMA of $12.22 and a 50-day SMA of $13.91, the shares currently sit above the long-term trend but just beneath the intermediate trendline. That setup can serve as an inflection zone for technicians: sustained strength above the 50-day SMA could tilt momentum constructive, while a drift toward the 200-day level would put focus on whether long-term support holds.
Bottom Line
AES remains within its 52-week range and above its 200-day moving average, backed by high institutional ownership and a valuation that implies a modest earnings multiple. With EPS expected to improve over the next year and mixed short-term momentum signals, the stock’s proximity to key moving averages keeps the technical picture front and center.
